Beroe vs Montana: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Montana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beroe vs Montana?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Beroe (1,658) and Montana (1,626).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beroe have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Montana have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zagorets(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Beroe win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Montana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Beroe 2-2 Montana | First League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Montana 0-1 Beroe | First League |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Beroe 1-1 Montana | First League |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Montana 1-1 Beroe | First League |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Beroe 0-0 Montana | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Beroe score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beroe | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Montana | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beroe sit 11th in Second League (6 points from 4 matches) and Montana sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Montana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 11 | Beroe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beroe vs Montana?
- The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Montana.
- Where and when is Beroe vs Montana played?
- Beroe vs Montana is played on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Beroe, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 2, 2026CSKA Sofia IIvsSpartak Pleven
- Sep 2, 2026Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsDobrudzha
- Sep 2, 2026Hebar 1918vsFratria
- Sep 2, 2026VihrenvsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
- Sep 2, 2026Yantra 2019vsPirin Blagoevgrad
- Sep 2, 2026Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsLudogorets II
- Sep 2, 2026MarekvsNesebar
- Sep 2, 2026Rilski SportistvsSportist Svoge