Hebburn Town vs Chester: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Energy Check Sports Ground, Hebburn, Tyne and Wear
The Footlab model makes Hebburn Town the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Chester. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hebburn Town vs Chester?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Hebburn Town (1,907) and Chester (1,927).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hebburn Town have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Chester have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Southport(home) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Blyth Spartans(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Hebburn Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chester win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2024 | Chester 3-0 Hebburn Town | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Chester vs Hebburn Town on Sep 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Hebburn Town score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hebburn Town | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Chester | 1.3 | 0.3 | 11 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hebburn Town sit 3rd in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and Chester sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Hebburn Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hebburn Town vs Chester?
- The Footlab model makes Hebburn Town the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Chester.
- Where and when is Hebburn Town vs Chester played?
- Hebburn Town vs Chester is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Energy Check Sports Ground, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.