Hebburn Town vs Merthyr Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 31Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Energy Check Sports Ground, Hebburn, Tyne and Wear
The Footlab AI model makes Hebburn Town the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Merthyr Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hebburn Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,666 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hebburn Town vs Merthyr Town?
On Elo ratings, Hebburn Town has 1,917 points and Merthyr Town 1,825.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hebburn Town vs Merthyr Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hebburn Town
Not enough data to predict the Hebburn Town lineup.
Merthyr Town
Not enough data to predict the Merthyr Town lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 03:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hebburn Town have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Merthyr Town have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Marine(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Hebburn Town score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Merthyr Town score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hebburn Town | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Merthyr Town | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hebburn Town sit 10th in National League - North (19 points from 13 matches) and Merthyr Town sit 18th (15 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 19 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
A question about Hebburn Town vs Merthyr Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hebburn Town vs Merthyr Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hebburn Town the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Merthyr Town.
- Where and when is Hebburn Town vs Merthyr Town played?
- Hebburn Town vs Merthyr Town is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Energy Check Sports Ground, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.