Where and when is Hereford vs Chorley played?

Hereford vs Chorley is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Edgar Street Athletic Ground, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hereford vs Chorley: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 31Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Edgar Street Athletic Ground, Hereford, Herefordshire

Hereford

Chorley

The Footlab model makes Hereford the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Chorley. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hereford vs Chorley?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Hereford (1,797) and Chorley (1,780).

Hereford win43 %

Draw26 %

Chorley win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hereford have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Chorley have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hereford
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Worksop Town(away)	3-0	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Radcliffe(home)	3-0	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Marine(home)	1-0	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Buxton(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Bromsgrove Sporting(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

Chorley
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Scarborough Athletic(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Marine(away)	2-0	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	South Shields(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Chester(home)	1-2	National League - North
Jul 28, 2026	Trafford(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hereford win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chorley win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 20, 2025	Chorley 4-2 Hereford	National League - North
Aug 23, 2025	Hereford 1-4 Chorley	National League - North
Dec 14, 2024	Hereford 1-0 Chorley	National League - North
Aug 17, 2024	Chorley 1-1 Hereford	National League - North
Mar 9, 2024	Hereford 0-1 Chorley	National League - North
Oct 28, 2023	Chorley 1-2 Hereford	National League - North

Last archived meeting: Chorley vs Hereford on Dec 20, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Hereford score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chorley score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hereford	1.5	1.1	5	8/15	9/15
Chorley	0.9	1.2	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hereford sit 6th in National League - North (9 points from 4 matches) and Chorley sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Hereford	4	3	0	1	8	2	9
9	Chorley	4	2	0	2	6	5	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hereford vs Chorley?: The Footlab model makes Hereford the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Chorley.
Where and when is Hereford vs Chorley played?: Hereford vs Chorley is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Edgar Street Athletic Ground, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.