Sasel vs Paloma: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sportplatz Parkweg, Hamburg
The Footlab AI model makes Paloma the favourite at 67%, against 16% for a draw and 17% for Sasel. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sasel vs Paloma?
Paloma starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,956 vs 1,773).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sasel vs Paloma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sasel
Not enough data to predict the Sasel lineup.
Paloma
4-3-3- 10V. Galica
- 9D. Schiemann
- 15Torben Hindersmann
- 6C. Wegner
- 19M. Krause
- 13A. Graf
- 8H. Brückner
- 14Tore Gersch
- 17Sven Drews
- 7F. Kramer
- 1Y. Jonas
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sasel have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Paloma have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pinneberg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 20, 2026 | HT16(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 4, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sasel wins, 3 draws, 3 Paloma wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Paloma 3-2 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 3, 2026 | Paloma 2-2 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Sasel 4-4 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Sasel 1-2 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Paloma 3-1 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Paloma 1-1 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
Sasel score 1.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Paloma score 2.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasel | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Paloma | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sasel sit 10th in Oberliga - Hamburg (50 points from 34 matches) and Paloma sit 5th (61 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Paloma | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 84 | 50 | 61 |
| 10 | Sasel | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 88 | 50 |
A question about Sasel vs Paloma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sasel vs Paloma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paloma the favourite at 67%, against 16% for a draw and 17% for Sasel.
- Where and when is Sasel vs Paloma played?
- Sasel vs Paloma is played on February 21, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sportplatz Parkweg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.