Pinneberg vs HT16: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Pinneberg the favourite at 43%, against 20% for a draw and 37% for HT16. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pinneberg vs HT16?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Pinneberg (1,771) and HT16 (1,817).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Pinneberg have 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; HT16 have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paloma(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(away) | 4-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HEBC(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 5-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
Pinneberg score 3.2 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 5; HT16 score 2.8 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinneberg | 3.2 | 3.0 | 0 | 4/4 | 4/4 |
| HT16 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | HT16 | 34 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 85 | 85 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pinneberg vs HT16?
- The Footlab model makes Pinneberg the favourite at 43%, against 20% for a draw and 37% for HT16.
- Where and when is Pinneberg vs HT16 played?
- Pinneberg vs HT16 is played on February 21, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.