Victoria Hamburg vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 23Kick-off on February 19, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Hoheluft, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Victoria Hamburg the favourite at 65%, against 16% for a draw and 18% for Vorwärts-Wacker 04. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Victoria Hamburg vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04?
Victoria Hamburg starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,867 vs 1,719).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Victoria Hamburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Vorwärts-Wacker 04 have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 11, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HT16(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Paloma(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Victoria Hamburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 2-1 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Victoria Hamburg 2-2 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Victoria Hamburg 4-5 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 2-1 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Victoria Hamburg on Mar 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Victoria Hamburg score 2.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vorwärts-Wacker 04 score 1.5 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Hamburg | 2.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Victoria Hamburg sit 4th in Oberliga - Hamburg (64 points from 34 matches) and Vorwärts-Wacker 04 sit 14th (38 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Victoria Hamburg | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83 | 48 | 64 |
| 14 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 85 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Victoria Hamburg vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04?
- The Footlab model makes Victoria Hamburg the favourite at 65%, against 16% for a draw and 18% for Vorwärts-Wacker 04.
- Where and when is Victoria Hamburg vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04 played?
- Victoria Hamburg vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04 is played on February 19, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hoheluft, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.