Match

HEBC vs Sasel: prediction and stats

Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 13Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:45 AM (UTC)Professor-Reinmüller-Platz, Hamburg

HEBCSasel

The Footlab AI model makes Sasel the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for HEBC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sasel wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win HEBC vs Sasel?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate HEBC (1,740) and Sasel (1,770).

31%24%45%
HEBC winDrawSasel win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for HEBC vs Sasel

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

HEBC

4-3-3
  1. 15Janek Wrede
  2. 7Tjorven Bastian Dan Köhler
  3. 20P. Onnen
  1. 11Hammed Nawaz
  2. 8Piet Oldag
  3. 17Robert Schick
  1. 33Christopher Grunewald
  2. 24Julius Emil Stegemann
  3. 18Jorma Eggers
  4. 27Lionel Zitzewitz
  1. 12J. Schoon

Sasel

Not enough data to predict the Sasel lineup.

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:09 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HEBC have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Sasel have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

HEBC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Süderelbe(home)1-3Oberliga - Hamburg
Oct 2, 2026Harksheide(away)3-0Oberliga - Hamburg
Sep 27, 2026Pinneberg(home)1-0Oberliga - Hamburg
Sep 19, 2026Altona 93(away)0-2Oberliga - Hamburg
Sep 13, 2026Victoria Hamburg(home)2-3Oberliga - Hamburg
Sasel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Pinneberg(home)1-1Oberliga - Hamburg
Oct 2, 2026Victoria Hamburg(away)2-2Oberliga - Hamburg
Sep 27, 2026Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home)0-1Oberliga - Hamburg
Sep 20, 2026HT16(away)0-2Oberliga - Hamburg
Sep 13, 2026Niendorfer TSV(home)0-3Oberliga - Hamburg

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 HEBC wins, 3 draws, 1 Sasel win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026HEBC 1-1 SaselOberliga - Hamburg
Oct 19, 2025Sasel 4-4 HEBCOberliga - Hamburg
Mar 23, 2025Sasel 3-1 HEBCOberliga - Hamburg
Oct 6, 2024HEBC 2-2 SaselOberliga - Hamburg
Feb 25, 2024HEBC 3-2 SaselOberliga - Hamburg
Sep 13, 2023Sasel 1-2 HEBCOberliga - Hamburg

Last archived meeting: HEBC vs Sasel on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

HEBC score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sasel score 1.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
HEBC1.02.035/159/15
Sasel1.72.229/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

HEBC sit 13th in Oberliga - Hamburg (38 points from 34 matches) and Sasel sit 10th (50 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Sasel3414812918850
13HEBC3410816486638

A question about HEBC vs Sasel?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for HEBC vs Sasel?
The Footlab AI model makes Sasel the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for HEBC.
Where and when is HEBC vs Sasel played?
HEBC vs Sasel is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:45 AM (UTC) at Professor-Reinmüller-Platz, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: HEBC and Sasel

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