Teutonia Ottensen vs Pinneberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gottfried-Tönsfeld Sportplatz, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Pinneberg the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Teutonia Ottensen. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Teutonia Ottensen vs Pinneberg?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Teutonia Ottensen (1,733) and Pinneberg (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Teutonia Ottensen have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Pinneberg have 3, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 12, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paloma(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(away) | 4-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Teutonia Ottensen score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pinneberg score 3.2 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teutonia Ottensen | 1.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Pinneberg | 3.2 | 3.0 | 0 | 4/4 | 4/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Teutonia Ottensen | 34 | 17 | 1 | 16 | 57 | 66 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Teutonia Ottensen vs Pinneberg?
- The Footlab model makes Pinneberg the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Teutonia Ottensen.
- Where and when is Teutonia Ottensen vs Pinneberg played?
- Teutonia Ottensen vs Pinneberg is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gottfried-Tönsfeld Sportplatz, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.