Harksheide vs Paloma: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 13Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz collatz+schwartz Sportpark, Norderstedt
The Footlab AI model makes Paloma the favourite at 78%, against 13% for a draw and 9% for Harksheide. The most likely score is 1-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harksheide vs Paloma?
Paloma starts as the favourite with a 263-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,693).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Harksheide vs Paloma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Harksheide
Not enough data to predict the Harksheide lineup.
Paloma
4-3-3- 10V. Galica
- 9D. Schiemann
- 15Torben Hindersmann
- 6C. Wegner
- 19M. Krause
- 13A. Graf
- 8H. Brückner
- 14Tore Gersch
- 17Sven Drews
- 7F. Kramer
- 1Y. Jonas
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harksheide have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Paloma have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 11, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 4, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Harksheide wins, 1 draw, 5 Paloma wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | Harksheide 1-5 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Paloma 3-1 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Paloma 4-1 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Harksheide 4-5 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Harksheide 1-1 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Paloma 3-1 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
Harksheide score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Paloma score 2.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harksheide | 1.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Paloma | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Harksheide sit 11th in Oberliga - Hamburg (45 points from 34 matches) and Paloma sit 5th (61 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Paloma | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 84 | 50 | 61 |
| 11 | Harksheide | 34 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 65 | 92 | 45 |
A question about Harksheide vs Paloma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harksheide vs Paloma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paloma the favourite at 78%, against 13% for a draw and 9% for Harksheide.
- Where and when is Harksheide vs Paloma played?
- Harksheide vs Paloma is played on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz collatz+schwartz Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.