Heimstetten vs Gundelfingen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 11Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Heimstetten, Kirchheim bei München
The Footlab model makes Heimstetten the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Gundelfingen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heimstetten vs Gundelfingen?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Heimstetten (1,751) and Gundelfingen (1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heimstetten have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Gundelfingen have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hankofen-Hailing(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1860 Rosenheim(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ismaning(home) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Erlbach(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Heimstetten win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Gundelfingen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Gundelfingen 1-3 Heimstetten | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Heimstetten 1-2 Gundelfingen | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Heimstetten 3-0 Gundelfingen | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Gundelfingen 2-0 Heimstetten | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Gundelfingen vs Heimstetten on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heimstetten score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gundelfingen score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heimstetten | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Gundelfingen | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heimstetten sit 7th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (51 points from 32 matches) and Gundelfingen sit 4th (55 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gundelfingen | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 51 | 33 | 55 |
| 7 | Heimstetten | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 46 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heimstetten vs Gundelfingen?
- The Footlab model makes Heimstetten the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Gundelfingen.
- Where and when is Heimstetten vs Gundelfingen played?
- Heimstetten vs Gundelfingen is played on September 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Heimstetten, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 18, 2026PipinsriedvsKirchanschöring
- Sep 18, 20261860 München IIvsErlbach
- Sep 18, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaigvs1860 Rosenheim
- Sep 19, 2026SchwabmünchenvsDeisenhofen
- Sep 19, 2026PfaffenhofenvsHankofen-Hailing
- Sep 19, 2026Schalding-HeiningvsLandshut
- Sep 19, 2026KotternvsIsmaning
- Sep 19, 2026TuS Geretsriedvs1880 Wasserburg