Where and when is Sportfreunde Schwaig vs 1860 Rosenheim played?

Sportfreunde Schwaig vs 1860 Rosenheim is played on September 18, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sportfreunde Schwaig vs 1860 Rosenheim: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 11Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, Oberding

Sportfreunde Schwaig

1860 Rosenheim

The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for 1860 Rosenheim. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportfreunde Schwaig vs 1860 Rosenheim?

Sportfreunde Schwaig starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,754 vs 1,553).

Sportfreunde Schwaig win57 %

Draw24 %

1860 Rosenheim win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; 1860 Rosenheim have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportfreunde Schwaig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Erlbach(home)	0-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026	Schwabmünchen(away)	2-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026	Kirchanschöring(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026	TuS Geretsried(away)	1-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026	Gundelfingen(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

1860 Rosenheim
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Gundelfingen(home)	0-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026	1880 Wasserburg(away)	0-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026	Deisenhofen(home)	6-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 2026	Landshut(away)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026	Hankofen-Hailing(home)	2-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

How many goals should we expect?

Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; 1860 Rosenheim score 1.8 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sportfreunde Schwaig	1.8	1.1	5	9/15	9/15
1860 Rosenheim	1.8	2.4	5	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Sportfreunde Schwaig	33	12	10	11	49	45	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Schwaig vs 1860 Rosenheim?: The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for 1860 Rosenheim.
Where and when is Sportfreunde Schwaig vs 1860 Rosenheim played?: Sportfreunde Schwaig vs 1860 Rosenheim is played on September 18, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.