Match

TuS Geretsried vs 1880 Wasserburg: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 11Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Isaraustadion, Geretsried

TuS Geretsried1880 Wasserburg

The Footlab model makes TuS Geretsried the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for 1880 Wasserburg. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win TuS Geretsried vs 1880 Wasserburg?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate TuS Geretsried (1,743) and 1880 Wasserburg (1,708).

TuS Geretsried win53 %
Draw22 %
1880 Wasserburg win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TuS Geretsried have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; 1880 Wasserburg have 4, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

TuS Geretsried
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pfaffenhofen(home)2-3Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Schalding-Heining(away)5-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 15, 2026Schwabmünchen(home)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaig(home)2-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Heimstetten(away)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
1880 Wasserburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Kottern(away)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 20261860 Rosenheim(home)2-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Ismaning(away)3-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 2026Erlbach(home)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 1, 2026Kirchanschöring(away)2-3Oberliga - Bayern Süd

How many goals should we expect?

TuS Geretsried score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; 1880 Wasserburg score 1.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
TuS Geretsried2.01.6212/1510/15
1880 Wasserburg1.52.7310/1411/14

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11TuS Geretsried3412913505045

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for TuS Geretsried vs 1880 Wasserburg?
The Footlab model makes TuS Geretsried the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for 1880 Wasserburg.
Where and when is TuS Geretsried vs 1880 Wasserburg played?
TuS Geretsried vs 1880 Wasserburg is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Isaraustadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: TuS Geretsried and 1880 Wasserburg

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