Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Hornchurch: result 3-2 and analysis
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on October 19, 2013 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire
Full time
What was the result of Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Hornchurch?
Hemel Hempstead Town won 3-2 on October 19, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Hemel Hempstead Town have 4 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; AFC Hornchurch have 7, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2013 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 1, 2013 | Witham Town(away) | 4-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Witham Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 14, 2013 | St Margaretsbury(away) | 7-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 2, 2012 | Bridgwater Town(home) | 1-3 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2013 | Wealdstone(home) | 6-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Spalding United(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 17, 2013 | East Thurrock United(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 14, 2013 | East Thurrock United(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 2-3 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 13; AFC Hornchurch score 2.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hemel Hempstead Town | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/13 | 8/13 |
| AFC Hornchurch | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/14 | 10/14 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 19, 2013Guernsey1-2Billericay Town
- Oct 19, 2013Slough Town1-2Merthyr Town
- Oct 19, 2013Aylesbury United0-1Ramsgate
- Oct 19, 2013Stamford1-2Kidsgrove Athletic
- Oct 19, 2013Stourbridge3-2Banbury United
- Oct 19, 2013AFC Sudbury5-0Crawley Down Gatwick
- Oct 19, 2013Heybridge Swifts1-2Canvey Island
- Oct 19, 2013Hampton & Richmond1-1Bedford Town