Match

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Braintree: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 18Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire

Hemel Hempstead TownBraintree

The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Braintree. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Braintree?

Hemel Hempstead Town starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,835 vs 1,636).

Hemel Hempstead Town win63 %
Draw21 %
Braintree win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hemel Hempstead Town have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Braintree have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hemel Hempstead Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Salisbury(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Maidenhead(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Farnborough(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Chelmsford City(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026St Albans City(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Braintree
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Horsham(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Ipswich Town U21(home)1-1National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Chesham United(home)3-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-4National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Aldershot Town(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Braintree win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 1, 2024Braintree 2-0 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Oct 24, 2023Hemel Hempstead Town 0-2 BraintreeNational League - South
Mar 14, 2023Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 BraintreeNational League - South
Aug 16, 2022Braintree 3-1 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Apr 30, 2022Braintree 3-1 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Aug 21, 2021Hemel Hempstead Town 0-3 BraintreeNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Braintree vs Hemel Hempstead Town on Apr 1, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Braintree score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hemel Hempstead Town1.10.948/156/15
Braintree1.52.3212/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Braintree sit 20th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hemel Hempstead Town4211537
20Braintree3102483

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Braintree?
The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Braintree.
Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Braintree played?
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Braintree is played on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hemel Hempstead Town and Braintree

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