Match

Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire

Hemel Hempstead TownAFC Totton

The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for AFC Totton. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Hemel Hempstead Town (1,839) and AFC Totton (1,791).

Hemel Hempstead Town win52 %
Draw25 %
AFC Totton win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hemel Hempstead Town have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; AFC Totton have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hemel Hempstead Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Salisbury(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Maidenhead(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Farnborough(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Chelmsford City(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026St Albans City(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
AFC Totton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Dorking Wanderers(home)0-3National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Billericay Town(home)1-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Farnham Town(away)1-0National League - South
Jul 11, 2026Sutton Utd(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Farnborough(home)1-6National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 AFC Totton win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 AFC TottonNational League - South
Oct 18, 2025AFC Totton 2-1 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Totton score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hemel Hempstead Town1.10.948/156/15
AFC Totton1.21.929/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and AFC Totton sit 11th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hemel Hempstead Town4211537
11AFC Totton3201236

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton?
The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for AFC Totton.
Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton played?
Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hemel Hempstead Town and AFC Totton

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