Torquay vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 44Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon
The Footlab AI model makes Torquay the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torquay wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,129 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torquay vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Torquay (1,971) and Hemel Hempstead Town (1,891).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torquay vs Hemel Hempstead Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torquay
Not enough data to predict the Torquay lineup.
Hemel Hempstead Town
4-3-3- 16I. Noel-Williams
- 10Joseph White
- 23Trae Cook
- 7G. Williams
- 12Kyran Wiltshire
- 20Mauro Vilhete
- 3D. Dowrich
- 2Samuel Adenola
- 22Devante Stanley
- 15Mathew Achuba
- 1M. Johnson
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 02:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 5-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Billericay Town(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AFC Stoneham(home) | 6-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Torquay wins, 0 draws, 3 Hemel Hempstead Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Torquay 1-2 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1 Torquay | National League - South |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Hemel Hempstead Town 1-4 Torquay | National League - South |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Torquay 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Torquay 3-2 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Hemel Hempstead Town 3-2 Torquay | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Torquay vs Hemel Hempstead Town on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torquay score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torquay | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torquay sit 13th in National League - South (16 points from 11 matches) and Hemel Hempstead Town sit 16th (14 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 16 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 14 |
A question about Torquay vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torquay vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torquay the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
- Where and when is Torquay vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?
- Torquay vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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