Match

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidstone Utd: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire

Hemel Hempstead TownMaidstone Utd

The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidstone Utd?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Hemel Hempstead Town (1,839) and Maidstone Utd (1,930).

Hemel Hempstead Town win27 %
Draw27 %
Maidstone Utd win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hemel Hempstead Town have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Maidstone Utd have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hemel Hempstead Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Salisbury(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Maidenhead(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Farnborough(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Chelmsford City(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026St Albans City(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Maidstone Utd
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dorking Wanderers(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Walton & Hersham(away)3-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Farnborough(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Chatham Town(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Maidstone Utd win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026Maidstone Utd 0-1 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Aug 9, 2025Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Feb 15, 2025Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Oct 26, 2024Maidstone Utd 1-0 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Feb 10, 2024Maidstone Utd 1-1 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Aug 26, 2023Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Maidstone UtdNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Maidstone Utd vs Hemel Hempstead Town on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hemel Hempstead Town1.10.948/156/15
Maidstone Utd2.41.269/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Maidstone Utd sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Maidstone Utd4211857
6Hemel Hempstead Town4211537

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidstone Utd?
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidstone Utd played?
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidstone Utd is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hemel Hempstead Town and Maidstone Utd

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