Aumund-Vegesack vs Werder Bremen III: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Vegesack, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Aumund-Vegesack the favourite at 49%, against 19% for a draw and 32% for Werder Bremen III. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aumund-Vegesack vs Werder Bremen III?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Aumund-Vegesack (1,694) and Werder Bremen III (1,660).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aumund-Vegesack have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Werder Bremen III have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Leher TS(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(home) | 5-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Grohn(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Brinkumer SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | OSC Bremerhaven(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vatan Sport(home) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Oberneuland(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Sebaldsbrück(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Aumund-Vegesack win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Werder Bremen III win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Werder Bremen III 5-2 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Aumund-Vegesack 2-0 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Aumund-Vegesack 2-0 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Werder Bremen III 1-3 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 3, 2023 | Werder Bremen III 1-4 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Aumund-Vegesack 2-4 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen III vs Aumund-Vegesack on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aumund-Vegesack score 2.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen III score 2.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aumund-Vegesack | 2.5 | 2.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Werder Bremen III | 2.5 | 2.7 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aumund-Vegesack sit 6th in Oberliga - Bremen (6 points from 3 matches) and Werder Bremen III sit 16th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aumund-Vegesack | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen III | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aumund-Vegesack vs Werder Bremen III?
- The Footlab model makes Aumund-Vegesack the favourite at 49%, against 19% for a draw and 32% for Werder Bremen III.
- Where and when is Aumund-Vegesack vs Werder Bremen III played?
- Aumund-Vegesack vs Werder Bremen III is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Vegesack, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.