Union Bremen vs Brinkumer SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Rollsportstadion, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Brinkumer SV the favourite at 56%, against 18% for a draw and 26% for Union Bremen. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Bremen vs Brinkumer SV?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Union Bremen (1,771) and Brinkumer SV (1,831).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Bremen have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Brinkumer SV have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Woltmershausen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Oberneuland(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Schwachhausen(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Geestemünde(away) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 9, 2026 | Hemelingen(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eiche Horn(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Woltmershausen(away) | 10-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemelingen(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 9, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Union Bremen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Brinkumer SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Union Bremen 2-2 Brinkumer SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Brinkumer SV 3-0 Union Bremen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Brinkumer SV 0-2 Union Bremen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Union Bremen 3-4 Brinkumer SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Brinkumer SV 1-3 Union Bremen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Union Bremen 4-0 Brinkumer SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Union Bremen vs Brinkumer SV on May 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Bremen score 2.6 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Brinkumer SV score 3.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 87% probability of over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Bremen | 2.6 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
| Brinkumer SV | 3.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Bremen sit 7th in Oberliga - Bremen (5 points from 3 matches) and Brinkumer SV sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brinkumer SV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Union Bremen | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Bremen vs Brinkumer SV?
- The Footlab model makes Brinkumer SV the favourite at 56%, against 18% for a draw and 26% for Union Bremen.
- Where and when is Union Bremen vs Brinkumer SV played?
- Union Bremen vs Brinkumer SV is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Rollsportstadion, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 87% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.