Heming vs Ullern: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 1Regular Season - 21Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Heming the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for Ullern. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heming vs Ullern?
Heming starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,667 vs 1,546).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heming have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ullern have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stabaek(home) | 0-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Asker(home) | 2-5 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IF Ready(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bærum(home) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ullern(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union Carl Berner(home) | 4-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gamle Oslo(home) | 2-5 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Frigg(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Heming(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Asker(away) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Heming win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ullern win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ullern 1-3 Heming | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Heming score 2.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ullern score 1.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heming | 2.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Ullern | 1.9 | 2.5 | 0 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heming sit 4th in 3. Division - Girone 1 (30 points from 16 matches) and Ullern sit 11th (14 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heming | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 25 | 30 |
| 11 | Ullern | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 41 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heming vs Ullern?
- The Footlab model makes Heming the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for Ullern.
- Where and when is Heming vs Ullern played?
- Heming vs Ullern is played on September 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the 3. Division - Girone 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.