Match

KFUM II vs Ullern: prediction and stats

3. Division - Girone 1Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)KFUM Arena, Oslo

KFUM IIUllern

The Footlab model makes KFUM II the favourite at 47%, against 20% for a draw and 33% for Ullern. The most likely score is 2-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win KFUM II vs Ullern?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate KFUM II (1,581) and Ullern (1,547).

KFUM II win47 %
Draw20 %
Ullern win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KFUM II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ullern have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

KFUM II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 17, 2026Nordstrand(home)7-23. Division - Girone 1
Aug 10, 2026Bærum(away)1-53. Division - Girone 1
Aug 3, 2026SF Grei(home)5-03. Division - Girone 1
Jul 27, 2026Lokomotiv Oslo(away)0-23. Division - Girone 1
Jun 28, 2026Heming(home)2-23. Division - Girone 1
Ullern
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Union Carl Berner(home)4-13. Division - Girone 1
Aug 8, 2026Gamle Oslo(home)2-53. Division - Girone 1
Aug 1, 2026Frigg(away)2-23. Division - Girone 1
Jul 25, 2026Heming(home)1-33. Division - Girone 1
Jun 27, 2026Asker(away)2-33. Division - Girone 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 KFUM II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ullern win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Ullern 2-3 KFUM II3. Division - Girone 1
Aug 11, 2025Ullern 1-3 KFUM II3. Division - Girone 1
Jun 14, 2025KFUM II 3-1 Ullern3. Division - Girone 1
Aug 19, 2024KFUM II 0-1 Ullern3. Division - Girone 3
Apr 22, 2024Ullern 2-2 KFUM II3. Division - Girone 3

Last archived meeting: Ullern vs KFUM II on Jun 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

KFUM II score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ullern score 1.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
KFUM II2.32.5111/1512/15
Ullern1.92.5014/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

KFUM II sit 9th in 3. Division - Girone 1 (20 points from 16 matches) and Ullern sit 11th (14 points from 16 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9KFUM II16628364320
11Ullern164210294114

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for KFUM II vs Ullern?
The Footlab model makes KFUM II the favourite at 47%, against 20% for a draw and 33% for Ullern.
Where and when is KFUM II vs Ullern played?
KFUM II vs Ullern is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at KFUM Arena, in the 3. Division - Girone 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: KFUM II and Ullern

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