Konnerud vs Heming: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 1Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Heming the favourite at 58%, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Konnerud. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Konnerud vs Heming?
Heming starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,667 vs 1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Konnerud have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Heming have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gamle Oslo(away) | 1-7 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Union Carl Berner(away) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nordstrand(home) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SF Grei(away) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | IF Ready(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stabaek(home) | 0-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Asker(home) | 2-5 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IF Ready(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bærum(home) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ullern(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Konnerud win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Heming win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Heming 3-1 Konnerud | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Konnerud score 1.6 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Heming score 2.0 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konnerud | 1.6 | 2.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Heming | 2.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Konnerud sit 13th in 3. Division - Girone 1 (12 points from 16 matches) and Heming sit 4th (30 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heming | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 25 | 30 |
| 13 | Konnerud | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 46 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Konnerud vs Heming?
- The Footlab model makes Heming the favourite at 58%, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Konnerud.
- Where and when is Konnerud vs Heming played?
- Konnerud vs Heming is played on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the 3. Division - Girone 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.