Hercílio Luz vs Avaí B: result 3-1 and analysis
Copa Santa CatarinaGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on October 1, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Aníbal Torres Costa, Tubarão, Santa Catarina
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What was the result of Hercílio Luz vs Avaí B?
Hercílio Luz won 3-1 on October 1, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 26′Guilherme LazaroniHercílio Luz
- 50′GiovaniHercílio Luz
- 56′GiovaniHercílio Luz
- 73′?Avaí B
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hercílio Luz have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeat; Avaí B have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2023 | Concórdia(home) | 2-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Nação(away) | 1-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 5, 2023 | Figueirense(away) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Internacional SC(home) | 4-4 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Ferroviária(home) | 2-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2023 | Marcílio Dias(home) | 4-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 18, 2023 | Internacional SC(away) | 0-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
How many goals should we expect?
Hercílio Luz score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Avaí B score 2.0 and concede 3.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hercílio Luz | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Avaí B | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 1/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Hercílio Luz vs Avaí B?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy