Hercílio Luz vs Avaí B: result 3-1 and analysis
Copa Santa CatarinaGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on October 1, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Aníbal Torres Costa, Tubarão, Santa Catarina
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What was the result of Hercílio Luz vs Avaí B?
Hercílio Luz won 3-1 on October 1, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 26′Guilherme LazaroniHercílio Luz
- 50′GiovaniHercílio Luz
- 56′GiovaniHercílio Luz
- 73′?Avaí B
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hercílio Luz have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Avaí B have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2023 | Concórdia(home) | 2-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Nação(away) | 1-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 5, 2023 | Figueirense(away) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Internacional SC(home) | 4-4 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Ferroviária(home) | 2-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2023 | Marcílio Dias(home) | 4-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 18, 2023 | Internacional SC(away) | 0-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
How many goals should we expect?
Hercílio Luz score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Avaí B score 2.0 and concede 3.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hercílio Luz | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Avaí B | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 1/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy