Hercules vs ADO '20: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Voordorp (USV Hercules), Utrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Hercules the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for ADO '20. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hercules wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hercules vs ADO '20?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Hercules (1,703) and ADO '20 (1,742).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hercules vs ADO '20
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hercules
Not enough data to predict the Hercules lineup.
ADO '20
4-3-3- 26J. Helder
- 14Storm Holtkamp
- 16Eon Herman
- 6D. Boerlage
- 17L. de Wilde
- 19Jesper de Vre
- 2Mikael Schilling
- 9Levi Volkers
- 6Tom Carbaat
- 3Oscar Wilffert
- 22Virgil Deen
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hercules have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; ADO '20 have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | TEC(home) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Excelsior '31(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dovo(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Hoogeveen(home) | 1-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Purmersteijn(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hercules win, 2 draws, 3 ADO '20 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | ADO '20 3-1 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Hercules 2-2 ADO '20 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 26, 2025 | ADO '20 1-0 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Hercules 3-0 ADO '20 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Aug 28, 2022 | ADO '20 3-1 Hercules | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Jun 6, 2022 | Hercules 3-3 ADO '20 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
Hercules score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; ADO '20 score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hercules | 1.4 | 1.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| ADO '20 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hercules sit 12th in Derde Divisie (10 points from 9 matches) and ADO '20 sit 11th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | ADO '20 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 19 | 13 |
| 12 | Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 10 |
A question about Hercules vs ADO '20?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hercules vs ADO '20?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hercules the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for ADO '20.
- Where and when is Hercules vs ADO '20 played?
- Hercules vs ADO '20 is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Voordorp (USV Hercules), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.