Hercules vs Hoogeveen: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Voordorp (USV Hercules), Utrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Hoogeveen the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Hercules. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hoogeveen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hercules vs Hoogeveen?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Hercules (1,693) and Hoogeveen (1,717).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hercules vs Hoogeveen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hercules
Not enough data to predict the Hercules lineup.
Hoogeveen
4-3-2-1- 9S. Egbers
- 10E. Bijlsma
- 8Menno Heerkes
- 12Tom Heerkes
- 14Jim Veltmaat
- 19Joey Roufs
- 21G. Klok
- 4L. van Dijk
- 24Alagie Jabbie
- 2Bjorn Klaassens
- 1Nick Borgman
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hercules have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hoogeveen have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Eemdijk(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | TEC(home) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | ACV(home) | 1-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 5-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 5-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | ACV(away) | 1-2 | KNVB Beker |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Hercules wins, 2 draws, 0 Hoogeveen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Hercules 3-3 Hoogeveen | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Hoogeveen 2-2 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Hoogeveen 0-2 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Hercules 5-0 Hoogeveen | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Hercules score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hoogeveen score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hercules | 1.3 | 1.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Hoogeveen | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hercules sit 12th in Derde Divisie (10 points from 10 matches) and Hoogeveen sit 10th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hoogeveen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 13 |
| 12 | Hercules | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 10 |
A question about Hercules vs Hoogeveen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hercules vs Hoogeveen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hoogeveen the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Hercules.
- Where and when is Hercules vs Hoogeveen played?
- Hercules vs Hoogeveen is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Voordorp (USV Hercules), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.