Chorley vs Spennymoor Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 32Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Park, Chorley, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Chorley the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Spennymoor Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chorley vs Spennymoor Town?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Chorley (1,780) and Spennymoor Town (1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chorley have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Spennymoor Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Marine(away) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chester(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Trafford(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chorley win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Spennymoor Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Spennymoor Town 1-0 Chorley | National League - North |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Chorley 0-0 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Chorley 4-0 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Spennymoor Town 1-2 Chorley | National League - North |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Spennymoor Town 1-0 Chorley | FA Cup |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Chorley 2-1 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Spennymoor Town vs Chorley on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chorley score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Spennymoor Town score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chorley | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Spennymoor Town | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chorley sit 9th in National League - North (6 points from 4 matches) and Spennymoor Town sit 17th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chorley | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 17 | Spennymoor Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chorley vs Spennymoor Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chorley the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Spennymoor Town.
- Where and when is Chorley vs Spennymoor Town played?
- Chorley vs Spennymoor Town is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.