Chorley vs Spennymoor Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 32Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Park, Chorley, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Chorley the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Spennymoor Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chorley wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,921 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chorley vs Spennymoor Town?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Chorley (1,882) and Spennymoor Town (1,872).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chorley vs Spennymoor Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chorley
Not enough data to predict the Chorley lineup.
Spennymoor Town
4-3-3- 16Ben Pollock
- 11J. Mondal
- 36Cameron Salkeld
- 29M. Dolan
- 7M. Heaney
- 28Corey McKeown
- 3D. Jones
- 2O. Dyson
- 4M. Hancox
- 6Ben Beals
- 13Ryan Johnson
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 04:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chorley have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Spennymoor Town have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barton Town Old Boys(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chester(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Southport(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chorley wins, 1 draw, 2 Spennymoor Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Spennymoor Town 1-0 Chorley | National League - North |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Chorley 0-0 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Chorley 4-0 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Spennymoor Town 1-2 Chorley | National League - North |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Spennymoor Town 1-0 Chorley | FA Cup |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Chorley 2-1 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Spennymoor Town vs Chorley on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chorley score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Spennymoor Town score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chorley | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Spennymoor Town | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chorley sit 10th in National League - North (17 points from 11 matches) and Spennymoor Town sit 24th (7 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 7 |
A question about Chorley vs Spennymoor Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chorley vs Spennymoor Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chorley the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Spennymoor Town.
- Where and when is Chorley vs Spennymoor Town played?
- Chorley vs Spennymoor Town is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.