Héroes de Zaci vs FC Santiago: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 16Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Héroes de Zaci. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Héroes de Zaci vs FC Santiago?
FC Santiago starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,982 vs 1,788).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Héroes de Zaci have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; FC Santiago have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Neza(away) | 6-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Cañoneros Marina(away) | 0-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 0-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Celaya(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(home) | 2-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sporting Canamy(away) | 6-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Zitacuaro(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Ciervos(home) | 5-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Héroes de Zaci score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Santiago score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Héroes de Zaci | 1.2 | 2.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Santiago | 2.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Héroes de Zaci sit 9th in Liga Premier Serie A (34 points from 24 matches) and FC Santiago sit 2nd (51 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 21 | 51 |
| 9 | Héroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 46 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Héroes de Zaci vs FC Santiago?
- The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Héroes de Zaci.
- Where and when is Héroes de Zaci vs FC Santiago played?
- Héroes de Zaci vs FC Santiago is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027AcatlanvsLa Tribu de Cd. Juarez
- Jan 16, 2027Mineros de FresnillovsCorrecaminos UAT II
- Jan 16, 2027CiervosvsGuerreros del Pacifico
- Jan 16, 2027Real RefinerosvsCañoneros Marina
- Jan 16, 2027Atlético SaltillovsReal Apodaca
- Jan 17, 2027Calor de San PedrovsArtesanos Metepec
- Jan 17, 2027Halcones NegrosvsDragones de Oaxaca
- Jan 17, 2027Vaqueros ReynosavsGuerreros