Match

Héroes de Zaci vs FC Santiago: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 16Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC)

Héroes de ZaciFC Santiago

The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Héroes de Zaci. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Héroes de Zaci vs FC Santiago?

FC Santiago starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,982 vs 1,788).

Héroes de Zaci win22 %
Draw23 %
FC Santiago win55 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Héroes de Zaci have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; FC Santiago have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Héroes de Zaci
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 10, 2026Montañeses(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026Neza(away)6-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 1, 2026Cañoneros Marina(away)0-5Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026Inter Playa del Carmen(away)0-4Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 13, 2026Celaya(home)3-2Liga Premier Serie A
FC Santiago
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Zacatepec 1948(home)2-3Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026Zacatepec 1948(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026Sporting Canamy(away)6-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 6, 2026Zitacuaro(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 31, 2026Ciervos(home)5-0Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Héroes de Zaci score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Santiago score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Héroes de Zaci1.22.335/1511/15
FC Santiago2.00.768/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Héroes de Zaci sit 9th in Liga Premier Serie A (34 points from 24 matches) and FC Santiago sit 2nd (51 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FC Santiago261475432151
9Héroes de Zaci2410212334634

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Héroes de Zaci vs FC Santiago?
The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Héroes de Zaci.
Where and when is Héroes de Zaci vs FC Santiago played?
Héroes de Zaci vs FC Santiago is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Héroes de Zaci and FC Santiago

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