Halcones Negros vs Dragones de Oaxaca: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 16Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Halcones Negros the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Dragones de Oaxaca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Halcones Negros wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Halcones Negros vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Halcones Negros (1,844) and Dragones de Oaxaca (1,885).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Halcones Negros vs Dragones de Oaxaca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Halcones Negros
Not enough data to predict the Halcones Negros lineup.
Dragones de Oaxaca
Not enough data to predict the Dragones de Oaxaca lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Halcones Negros have 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Dragones de Oaxaca have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Acambaro(home) | 0-6 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Refineros(away) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ciervos(away) | 5-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Calor de San Pedro(home) | 7-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Guerreros del Pacifico(home) | 5-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Refineros(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos(away) | 3-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cañoneros Marina(home) | 3-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Halcones Negros wins, 0 draws, 1 Dragones de Oaxaca win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Dragones de Oaxaca 2-1 Halcones Negros | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Dragones de Oaxaca vs Halcones Negros on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Halcones Negros score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 8; Dragones de Oaxaca score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halcones Negros | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 3/8 | 7/8 |
| Dragones de Oaxaca | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Halcones Negros sit 3rd in Liga Premier Serie A (14 points from 7 matches) and Dragones de Oaxaca sit 2nd (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Halcones Negros | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 6 | 14 |
A question about Halcones Negros vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Halcones Negros vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Halcones Negros the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Dragones de Oaxaca.
- Where and when is Halcones Negros vs Dragones de Oaxaca played?
- Halcones Negros vs Dragones de Oaxaca is played on January 17, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027Héroes de ZacivsFC Santiago
- Jan 16, 2027AcatlanvsLa Tribu de Cd. Juarez
- Jan 16, 2027Mineros de FresnillovsCorrecaminos UAT II
- Jan 16, 2027CiervosvsGuerreros del Pacifico
- Jan 16, 2027Real RefinerosvsCañoneros Marina
- Jan 16, 2027Atlético SaltillovsReal Apodaca
- Jan 17, 2027Calor de San PedrovsArtesanos Metepec
- Jan 17, 2027Vaqueros ReynosavsGuerreros