Where and when is Héroes de Zaci vs Mineros de Fresnillo played?

Héroes de Zaci vs Mineros de Fresnillo is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Héroes de Zaci vs Mineros de Fresnillo: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)

Héroes de Zaci

Mineros de Fresnillo

The Footlab model makes Mineros de Fresnillo the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Héroes de Zaci. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Héroes de Zaci vs Mineros de Fresnillo?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Héroes de Zaci (1,788) and Mineros de Fresnillo (1,831).

Héroes de Zaci win31 %

Draw25 %

Mineros de Fresnillo win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Héroes de Zaci have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Mineros de Fresnillo have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Héroes de Zaci
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 10, 2026	Montañeses(home)	1-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026	Neza(away)	6-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 1, 2026	Cañoneros Marina(away)	0-5	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026	Inter Playa del Carmen(away)	0-4	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 13, 2026	Celaya(home)	3-2	Liga Premier Serie A

Mineros de Fresnillo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Cimarrones(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026	Cimarrones(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Durango(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026	Reboceros La Piedad(home)	6-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Colima(away)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Héroes de Zaci score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mineros de Fresnillo score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Héroes de Zaci	1.2	2.3	3	5/15	11/15
Mineros de Fresnillo	1.7	1.2	4	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Héroes de Zaci sit 9th in Liga Premier Serie A (34 points from 24 matches) and Mineros de Fresnillo sit 7th (39 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40	41	39
9	Héroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33	46	34

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Héroes de Zaci vs Mineros de Fresnillo?: The Footlab model makes Mineros de Fresnillo the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Héroes de Zaci.
Where and when is Héroes de Zaci vs Mineros de Fresnillo played?: Héroes de Zaci vs Mineros de Fresnillo is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.