Hibernian vs Motherwell: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Easter Road Stadium, Edinburgh
The Footlab AI model makes Hibernian the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Motherwell. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hibernian wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,888 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hibernian vs Motherwell?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Hibernian (1,854) and Motherwell (1,831).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hibernian vs Motherwell
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hibernian
4-2-3-1- 7O. Elding
- 8J. Mulligan
- 14M. Chaiwa
- 17J. McGrath
- 11J. Newell
- 18T. Klidje
- 25F. Passlack
- 6J. Kerr
- 3A. Mayor
- 5M. Ivezić
- 1R. Sallinger
Motherwell
4-2-3-1- 47S. Palmer-Houlden
- 71J. Hodge
- 18Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
- 19I. Said
- 63D. Levitt
- 6J. McGhee
- 45M. Emmanuel
- 5M. Moormann
- 7T. Sparrow
- 3J. Girdwood-Reich
- 1A. Paulsen
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 04:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hibernian have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Motherwell have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | ST Mirren(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Falkirk(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 2-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dundee(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hibernian win, 2 draws, 3 Motherwell wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hibernian 1-2 Motherwell | Premiership |
| May 16, 2026 | Hibernian 0-1 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Motherwell 0-0 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Hibernian 1-1 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Motherwell 2-0 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Hibernian 3-1 Motherwell | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Hibernian vs Motherwell on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hibernian score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Motherwell score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hibernian | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Motherwell | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hibernian sit 11th in Premiership (8 points from 11 matches) and Motherwell sit 10th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Motherwell | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 9 |
| 11 | Hibernian | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
A question about Hibernian vs Motherwell?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hibernian vs Motherwell?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hibernian the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Motherwell.
- Where and when is Hibernian vs Motherwell played?
- Hibernian vs Motherwell is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Easter Road Stadium, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.