ST Johnstone vs Falkirk: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)McDiarmid Park, Perth
The Footlab AI model makes ST Johnstone the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Falkirk. The most likely score is 1-1. If ST Johnstone wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Falkirk?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate ST Johnstone (1,886) and Falkirk (1,840).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ST Johnstone vs Falkirk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ST Johnstone
3-4-2-1- 9J. Fowler
- 8J. Holt
- 42R. McAlear
- 11S. Stanton
- 26M. Todd
- 99R. Paton
- 7T. Steven
- 33L. Smith
- 19D. Finlayson
- 3C. Diabate
- 1T. Steward
Falkirk
4-2-3-1- 24J. Murrell
- 23E. Ross
- 16Finley Frank Barbrook
- 8B. Spencer
- 28B. Krauhaus
- 42Owen Eames
- 5L. Henderson
- 22R. Strain
- 3L. McCann
- 15L. Neilson
- 19S. Bain
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ST Johnstone have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Falkirk have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aberdeen(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Falkirk(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Dundee(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dundee(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 ST Johnstone win, 1 draw, 1 Falkirk win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | ST Johnstone 1-1 Falkirk | Premiership |
| Jul 8, 2025 | ST Johnstone 0-1 Falkirk | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2018 | ST Johnstone 1-0 Falkirk | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: ST Johnstone vs Falkirk on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ST Johnstone score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Falkirk score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Johnstone | 1.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Falkirk | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ST Johnstone sit 5th in Premiership (11 points from 8 matches) and Falkirk sit 11th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | ST Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
A question about ST Johnstone vs Falkirk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ST Johnstone vs Falkirk?
- The Footlab AI model makes ST Johnstone the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Falkirk.
- Where and when is ST Johnstone vs Falkirk played?
- ST Johnstone vs Falkirk is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at McDiarmid Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.