Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
The Footlab AI model makes Kilmarnock the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for ST Mirren. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kilmarnock wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Kilmarnock (1,802) and ST Mirren (1,775).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kilmarnock
4-2-3-1- 9J. Hugill
- 18T. Lowery
- 11G. Kiltie
- 8E. Ring
- 10T. John-Jules
- 49B. Rice
- 21M. Schjønning-Larsen
- 4C. McCarthy
- 14G. Stanger
- 3Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
- 12C. Ferrie
ST Mirren
4-2-3-1- 88K. Phillips
- 8R. Carr
- 19Ismeal Kabia
- 48P. Nsio
- 30F. Taylor
- 23C. Mochrie
- 13A. Gogić
- 3D. John
- 47C. Ramsay
- 53Henry Fieldson
- 1J. Chapman
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kilmarnock have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; ST Mirren have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Motherwell(home) | 3-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aberdeen(away) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 0-5 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dundee Utd(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kilmarnock wins, 2 draws, 1 ST Mirren win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | Kilmarnock 0-1 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| May 9, 2026 | ST Mirren 0-3 Kilmarnock | Premiership |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Kilmarnock 4-3 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Dec 27, 2025 | ST Mirren 0-0 Kilmarnock | Premiership |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Kilmarnock 2-0 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Kilmarnock 2-2 ST Mirren | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren on Sep 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kilmarnock score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; ST Mirren score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| ST Mirren | 1.7 | 1.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kilmarnock sit 11th in Premiership (8 points from 9 matches) and ST Mirren sit 8th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | ST Mirren | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 10 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 8 |
A question about Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kilmarnock the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for ST Mirren.
- Where and when is Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren played?
- Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.