Thisted FC vs Fremad Amager: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sparekassen Thy Arena, Thisted
The Footlab model makes Fremad Amager the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Thisted FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thisted FC vs Fremad Amager?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Thisted FC (1,691) and Fremad Amager (1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thisted FC have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Fremad Amager have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Skive(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VSK Århus(away) | 1-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aabybro(away) | 9-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Middelfart(away) | 1-4 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Roskilde(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Skive(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VSK Århus(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FA 2000(away) | 0-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nykobing FC(away) | 2-2 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Thisted FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Fremad Amager win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Fremad Amager 2-0 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Thisted FC 2-1 Fremad Amager | 2. Division |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Fremad Amager 3-0 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Thisted FC 1-3 Fremad Amager | 2. Division |
| May 25, 2024 | Fremad Amager 0-1 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Thisted FC 1-2 Fremad Amager | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Fremad Amager vs Thisted FC on Apr 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Thisted FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fremad Amager score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thisted FC | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Fremad Amager | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thisted FC sit 12th in 2. Division (0 points from 4 matches) and Fremad Amager sit 7th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Fremad Amager | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 12 | Thisted FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thisted FC vs Fremad Amager?
- The Footlab model makes Fremad Amager the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Thisted FC.
- Where and when is Thisted FC vs Fremad Amager played?
- Thisted FC vs Fremad Amager is played on November 6, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sparekassen Thy Arena, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.