Roskilde vs HIK: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Roskilde Idrætspark, Roskilde
The Footlab model makes Roskilde the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for HIK. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roskilde vs HIK?
Roskilde starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,779 vs 1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roskilde have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; HIK have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fremad Amager(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Middelfart(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | B 93(away) | 2-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Handelsstandens(away) | 5-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Naestved(home) | 2-2 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | B 93(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Naestved(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rudersdal(away) | 5-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VSK Århus(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Roskilde win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 HIK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Roskilde 3-2 HIK | 2. Division |
| May 8, 2026 | HIK 1-2 Roskilde | 2. Division |
| Mar 13, 2026 | HIK 0-2 Roskilde | 2. Division |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Roskilde 4-1 HIK | 2. Division |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Roskilde 2-2 HIK | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2024 | HIK 0-2 Roskilde | DBU Pokalen |
How many goals should we expect?
Roskilde score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; HIK score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roskilde | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| HIK | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Roskilde sit 4th in 2. Division (6 points from 4 matches) and HIK sit 9th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Roskilde | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | HIK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roskilde vs HIK?
- The Footlab model makes Roskilde the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for HIK.
- Where and when is Roskilde vs HIK played?
- Roskilde vs HIK is played on November 6, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Roskilde Idrætspark, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.