Hillerød vs Hobro: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Right to Dream Park, Farum
The Footlab model makes Hobro the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Hillerød. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hillerød vs Hobro?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Hillerød (1,803) and Hobro (1,807).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hillerød have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Hobro have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aarhus Fremad(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vejle(away) | 4-5 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Vaeggerlose(away) | 12-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Esbjerg(home) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Aalborg(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Esbjerg(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AB Copenhagen(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(home) | 0-4 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hillerød win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Hobro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Hobro 1-2 Hillerød | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Hillerød 0-2 Hobro | 1. Division |
| May 2, 2025 | Hobro 0-0 Hillerød | 1. Division |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Hillerød 2-0 Hobro | 1. Division |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Hobro 2-2 Hillerød | 1. Division |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Hillerød 2-2 Hobro | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Hillerød score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hobro score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hillerød | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Hobro | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hillerød sit 11th in 1. Division (1 points from 5 matches) and Hobro sit 2nd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hobro | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 11 | Hillerød | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hillerød vs Hobro?
- The Footlab model makes Hobro the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Hillerød.
- Where and when is Hillerød vs Hobro played?
- Hillerød vs Hobro is played on August 30, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Right to Dream Park, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.