HJK Helsinki vs KuPS: prediction and stats
VeikkausliigaChampionship Group - 29Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bolt Arena, Helsinki
The Footlab AI model makes HJK Helsinki the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for KuPS. The most likely score is 1-1. If HJK Helsinki wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HJK Helsinki vs KuPS?
On Elo ratings, HJK Helsinki has 1,848 points and KuPS 1,805.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for HJK Helsinki vs KuPS
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
HJK Helsinki
4-2-3-1- 20T. Pukki
- 7Alfie Cicale
- 4A. Ring
- 9M. Borchers
- 29S. Haarala
- 8P. Mentu
- 14L. Montano
- 6V. Tikkanen
- 31M. Bogićević
- 13K. Simojoki
- 1J. Öst
KuPS
4-2-3-1- 11J. Moreno
- 8P. Pennanen
- 10V. Gasc
- 16T. Jyry
- 24B. Armah
- 21J. Luyeye-Lutumba
- 25C. Antwi
- 28B. Magassa
- 23A. Lötjönen
- 29A. Puukko
- 1J. Kreidl
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HJK Helsinki have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; KuPS have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gnistan(home) | 4-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 12, 2026 | AC Oulu(away) | 4-3 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 8, 2026 | VPS(home) | 6-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Gnistan(away) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | KuPS(away) | 0-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 8, 2026 | AC Oulu(home) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | VPS(away) | 2-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 0-0 | Veikkausliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 HJK Helsinki win, 2 draws, 3 KuPS wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | KuPS 0-0 HJK Helsinki | Veikkausliiga |
| Jun 27, 2026 | HJK Helsinki 0-4 KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
| Apr 26, 2026 | KuPS 1-1 HJK Helsinki | Veikkausliiga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | HJK Helsinki 0-2 KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | KuPS 3-1 HJK Helsinki | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | HJK Helsinki 1-0 KuPS | Suomen Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
HJK Helsinki score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; KuPS score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HJK Helsinki | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| KuPS | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HJK Helsinki sit 2nd in Veikkausliiga (51 points from 28 matches) and KuPS sit 3rd (48 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 53 | 32 | 51 |
| 3 | KuPS | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 48 |
A question about HJK Helsinki vs KuPS?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HJK Helsinki vs KuPS?
- The Footlab AI model makes HJK Helsinki the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for KuPS.
- Where and when is HJK Helsinki vs KuPS played?
- HJK Helsinki vs KuPS is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bolt Arena, in the Veikkausliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.