HJK W vs Ilves W: prediction and stats
Kansallinen LiigaChampionship Playoffs - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bolt Arena, Helsinki
The Footlab AI model makes HJK W the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Ilves W. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,752 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HJK W vs Ilves W?
HJK W is a heavy favourite: 1,759 Elo points against 1,424, a 335-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for HJK W vs Ilves W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
HJK W
4-1-4-1- 71M. Kamogawa
- 13M. Lassas
- 15Alma Forsten
- 8R. Suomela
- 27M. Kiviranta
- 18I. Ylatalo
- 10J. Topra
- 2N. Karvonen
- 34L. Hillberg
- 44Jenna Tivnan
- 12A. Laihanen
Ilves W
4-3-3- 24E. Mäkipelkola
- 8A. Ljesnjanin
- 17T. Perttula
- 12V. Spets
- 14A. Rasinen
- 9S. Tuomala
- 5A. Olmala
- 40K. Juvonen
- 27H. Perkaus
- 88S. Laine
- 37N. Hautamäki
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HJK W have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Ilves W have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Åland United W(away) | 0-3 | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | HPS W(home) | 2-3 | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Brann W(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
| Sep 26, 2026 | KuPS W(away) | 1-0 | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Brann W(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | KuPS W(home) | 3-3 | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | IF Gnistan(away) | 3-0 | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Åland United W(home) | 2-3 | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | HPS W(away) | 0-1 | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | KuPS W(away) | 1-2 | Kansallinen Liiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 HJK W wins, 0 draws, 0 Ilves W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ilves W 1-3 HJK W | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Apr 25, 2026 | HJK W 2-1 Ilves W | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Ilves W 1-2 HJK W | Kansallinen Liiga |
| May 12, 2024 | HJK W 1-0 Ilves W | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Ilves W 0-5 HJK W | Kansallinen Liiga |
| May 6, 2023 | HJK W 4-0 Ilves W | Kansallinen Liiga |
How many goals should we expect?
HJK W score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ilves W score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HJK W | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Ilves W | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HJK W sit 1st in Kansallinen Liiga (39 points from 14 matches) and Ilves W sit 5th (22 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK W | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 9 | 39 |
| 5 | Ilves W | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 22 |
A question about HJK W vs Ilves W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HJK W vs Ilves W?
- The Footlab AI model makes HJK W the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Ilves W.
- Where and when is HJK W vs Ilves W played?
- HJK W vs Ilves W is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bolt Arena, in the Kansallinen Liiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.