HPS W vs IF Gnistan: prediction and stats
Kansallinen LiigaChampionship Playoffs - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Briotech Arena, Helsinki
The Footlab AI model makes HPS W the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for IF Gnistan. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,853 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HPS W vs IF Gnistan?
HPS W is a heavy favourite: 1,607 Elo points against 1,295, a 312-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for HPS W vs IF Gnistan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
HPS W
Not enough data to predict the HPS W lineup.
IF Gnistan
Not enough data to predict the IF Gnistan lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HPS W have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; IF Gnistan have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ilves W(away) | 4-0 | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | HJK W(away) | 3-2 | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Åland United W(home) | 1-0 | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | KuPS W(away) | 0-0 | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ilves W(home) | 1-0 | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | KuPS W(home) | 0-5 | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Åland United W(away) | 1-3 | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ilves W(home) | 0-3 | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | HJK W(away) | 1-6 | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | KuPS W(away) | 0-2 | Kansallinen Liiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 HPS W wins, 0 draws, 0 IF Gnistan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | HPS W 4-0 IF Gnistan | Kansallinen Liiga |
| Apr 4, 2026 | IF Gnistan 1-2 HPS W | Kansallinen Liiga |
How many goals should we expect?
HPS W score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; IF Gnistan score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HPS W | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| IF Gnistan | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HPS W sit 4th in Kansallinen Liiga (24 points from 14 matches) and IF Gnistan sit 6th (13 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | HPS W | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 24 |
| 6 | IF Gnistan | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 32 | 13 |
A question about HPS W vs IF Gnistan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HPS W vs IF Gnistan?
- The Footlab AI model makes HPS W the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for IF Gnistan.
- Where and when is HPS W vs IF Gnistan played?
- HPS W vs IF Gnistan is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Briotech Arena, in the Kansallinen Liiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.