Where and when is Hoek vs Almere City II played?

Hoek vs Almere City II is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Denoek, in the Tweede Divisie.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hoek vs Almere City II: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Denoek, Hoek

Hoek

Almere City II

The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Almere City II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hoek vs Almere City II?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Hoek (1,959) and Almere City II (1,922).

Hoek win56 %

Draw22 %

Almere City II win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoek have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Almere City II have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hoek
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Katwijk(away)	1-1	Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026	Koninklijke HFC(home)	3-1	Tweede Divisie
Jul 15, 2026	NAC Breda(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	De Treffers(away)	2-2	Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026	Rijnsburgse Boys(home)	2-0	Tweede Divisie

Almere City II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	HHC(away)	1-2	Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026	Rijnsburgse Boys(home)	4-0	Tweede Divisie
May 23, 2026	GVVV Veenendaal(home)	5-4	Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026	Excelsior Maassluis(away)	1-0	Tweede Divisie
May 9, 2026	RKAV Volendam(home)	3-2	Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Hoek win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Almere City II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Hoek 4-0 Almere City II	Tweede Divisie
Nov 22, 2025	Almere City II 1-2 Hoek	Tweede Divisie
Dec 14, 2019	Almere City II 4-1 Hoek	Derde Divisie

Last archived meeting: Hoek vs Almere City II on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hoek score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Almere City II score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hoek	1.9	1.4	3	11/15	10/15
Almere City II	1.9	2.1	3	9/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hoek sit 6th in Tweede Divisie (4 points from 2 matches) and Almere City II sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Hoek	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
7	Almere City II	2	1	0	1	5	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hoek vs Almere City II?: The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Almere City II.
Where and when is Hoek vs Almere City II played?: Hoek vs Almere City II is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Denoek, in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.