Katwijk vs De Treffers: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark de Krom, Katwijk
The Footlab model makes De Treffers the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Katwijk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Katwijk vs De Treffers?
De Treffers starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (2,028 vs 1,903).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Katwijk have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; De Treffers have 10, 5 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(home) | 4-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 4-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(away) | 3-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(home) | 5-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Noordwijk(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 2-2 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Katwijk win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 De Treffers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | De Treffers 4-1 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Katwijk 2-4 De Treffers | Tweede Divisie |
| May 24, 2025 | Katwijk 2-3 De Treffers | Tweede Divisie |
| Dec 14, 2024 | De Treffers 1-3 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 23, 2024 | De Treffers 3-0 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Katwijk 0-1 De Treffers | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: De Treffers vs Katwijk on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Katwijk score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; De Treffers score 2.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katwijk | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| De Treffers | 2.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Katwijk sit 14th in Tweede Divisie (1 points from 2 matches) and De Treffers sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | De Treffers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | Katwijk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Katwijk vs De Treffers?
- The Footlab model makes De Treffers the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Katwijk.
- Where and when is Katwijk vs De Treffers played?
- Katwijk vs De Treffers is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark de Krom, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026RKAV VolendamvsBarendrecht
- Sep 19, 2026Koninklijke HFCvsAFC Amsterdam
- Sep 19, 2026Rijnsburgse BoysvsQuick Boys
- Sep 19, 2026SpakenburgvsSparta Rotterdam II
- Sep 19, 2026GVVV VeenendaalvsKloetinge
- Sep 19, 2026HoekvsAlmere City II
- Sep 19, 2026HHCvsKozakken Boys
- Sep 19, 2026ROHDA RaaltevsIjsselmeervogels