Spakenburg vs Sparta Rotterdam II: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), Bunschoten
The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 30% for Sparta Rotterdam II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spakenburg vs Sparta Rotterdam II?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Spakenburg (1,903) and Sparta Rotterdam II (1,841).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spakenburg have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 0-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rijnsburgse Boys(away) | 6-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(home) | 6-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Groningen U21(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Spakenburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Sparta Rotterdam II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Spakenburg 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam II | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam II 4-4 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Spakenburg 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam II | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam II 0-5 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam II 1-2 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Spakenburg 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam II | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Spakenburg vs Sparta Rotterdam II on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spakenburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam II score 2.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spakenburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam II | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spakenburg sit 9th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam II sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Rotterdam II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spakenburg vs Sparta Rotterdam II?
- The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 30% for Sparta Rotterdam II.
- Where and when is Spakenburg vs Sparta Rotterdam II played?
- Spakenburg vs Sparta Rotterdam II is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.