Katwijk vs Barendrecht: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark de Krom, Katwijk
The Footlab model makes Katwijk the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Barendrecht. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Katwijk vs Barendrecht?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Katwijk (1,890) and Barendrecht (1,814).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Katwijk have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Barendrecht have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(home) | 4-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 4-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | HHC(home) | 1-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 2-5 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 4-2 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Katwijk win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Barendrecht win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Barendrecht 2-3 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Katwijk 4-3 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Barendrecht 1-2 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Katwijk 4-1 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
| Apr 20, 2019 | Barendrecht 1-1 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Dec 1, 2018 | Katwijk 4-0 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Barendrecht vs Katwijk on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Katwijk score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Barendrecht score 1.9 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katwijk | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Barendrecht | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Katwijk sit 14th in Tweede Divisie (1 points from 2 matches) and Barendrecht sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Barendrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Katwijk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Katwijk vs Barendrecht?
- The Footlab model makes Katwijk the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Barendrecht.
- Where and when is Katwijk vs Barendrecht played?
- Katwijk vs Barendrecht is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark de Krom, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027RKAV VolendamvsIjsselmeervogels
- Jan 23, 2027Koninklijke HFCvsAlmere City II
- Jan 23, 2027Rijnsburgse BoysvsDe Treffers
- Jan 23, 2027SpakenburgvsHoek
- Jan 23, 2027GVVV VeenendaalvsKozakken Boys
- Jan 23, 2027HHCvsSparta Rotterdam II
- Jan 23, 2027KloetingevsQuick Boys
- Jan 24, 2027ROHDA RaaltevsAFC Amsterdam