Hoffenheim II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion, Sinsheim
The Footlab model makes Hoffenheim II the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hoffenheim II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Hoffenheim II (1,886) and Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,910).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoffenheim II have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(away) | 2-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(home) | 2-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Freiburg II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Freiburg(home) | 1-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Hoffenheim II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-2 Hoffenheim II | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hoffenheim II on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hoffenheim II score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim II | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hoffenheim II sit 9th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hoffenheim II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hoffenheim II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
- The Footlab model makes Hoffenheim II the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
- Where and when is Hoffenheim II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?
- Hoffenheim II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on January 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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