Šternberk vs Bzenec: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie EDivision E - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Šternberk, Šternberk
The Footlab model makes Bzenec the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Šternberk. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Šternberk vs Bzenec?
Bzenec starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,644 vs 1,471).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Šternberk have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Bzenec have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hluk(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Polanka nad Odrou(home) | 1-5 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Břeclav(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jiskra Rýmařov(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nové Sady(away) | 4-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sokol Lanžhot(home) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hodonín(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 1-5 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Břeclav(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Šternberk win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Bzenec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bzenec 3-1 Šternberk | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Šternberk 2-5 Bzenec | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Bzenec 4-0 Šternberk | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Šternberk 0-1 Bzenec | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Šternberk 1-1 Bzenec | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Bzenec 4-0 Šternberk | 4. liga - Divizie E |
How many goals should we expect?
Šternberk score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bzenec score 1.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Šternberk | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Bzenec | 1.9 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Šternberk sit 12th in 4. liga - Divizie E (1 points from 2 matches) and Bzenec sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bzenec | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 12 | Šternberk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 13 | Šternberk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | Bzenec | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Šternberk vs Bzenec?
- The Footlab model makes Bzenec the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Šternberk.
- Where and when is Šternberk vs Bzenec played?
- Šternberk vs Bzenec is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Šternberk, in the 4. liga - Divizie E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.