Holon Yermiyahu vs FC Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 32Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Holon Municipal Stadium, Holon
The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Holon Yermiyahu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holon Yermiyahu vs FC Jerusalem?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Holon Yermiyahu (1,655) and FC Jerusalem (1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holon Yermiyahu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; FC Jerusalem have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 5-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Holon Yermiyahu win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FC Jerusalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu 3-3 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Mar 7, 2025 | FC Jerusalem 2-0 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-0 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Holon Yermiyahu vs FC Jerusalem on Jan 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holon Yermiyahu | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Jerusalem | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and FC Jerusalem sit 2nd (37 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Jerusalem | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 37 |
| 11 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holon Yermiyahu vs FC Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Holon Yermiyahu.
- Where and when is Holon Yermiyahu vs FC Jerusalem played?
- Holon Yermiyahu vs FC Jerusalem is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Holon Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 2, 2027Maccabi AshdodvsHapoel Sderot
- Apr 2, 2027Maccabi YavnevsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Apr 2, 2027Nordia JerusalemvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Apr 2, 2027Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Azor
- Apr 3, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsTzeirey Tira
- Apr 3, 2027Hapoel MarmorekvsHapoel Herzliya
- Apr 3, 2027Hapoel HaderavsBeitar Yavne
- Apr 3, 2027Shimshon Tel AvivvsDimona