Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 32Kick-off on April 2, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Mahane Yehuda the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Nordia Jerusalem (1,626) and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (1,562).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordia Jerusalem have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away) | 1-5 | State Cup |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Agudat Sport Ashdod(away) | 0-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away) | 4-2 | State Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Nordia Jerusalem win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | Nordia Jerusalem 4-1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | Liga Alef |
| Nov 9, 2018 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 2-0 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Feb 11, 2018 | Nordia Jerusalem 1-1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | Liga Alef |
| Sep 26, 2017 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 2-0 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda on Mar 16, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordia Jerusalem | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Mahane Yehuda the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Nordia Jerusalem.
- Where and when is Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda played?
- Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda is played on April 2, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 2, 2027Maccabi AshdodvsHapoel Sderot
- Apr 2, 2027Maccabi YavnevsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Apr 2, 2027Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Azor
- Apr 3, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsTzeirey Tira
- Apr 3, 2027Hapoel MarmorekvsHapoel Herzliya
- Apr 3, 2027Hapoel HaderavsBeitar Yavne
- Apr 3, 2027Holon YermiyahuvsFC Jerusalem
- Apr 3, 2027Shimshon Tel AvivvsDimona