Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Herzliya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 32Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, Rehovot
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Herzliya the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Herzliya?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Hapoel Marmorek (1,608) and Hapoel Herzliya (1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Marmorek have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Herzliya have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hapoel Marmorek win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Hapoel Herzliya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-1 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Hapoel Marmorek 2-4 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Jan 3, 2025 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-0 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-2 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Apr 9, 2024 | Hapoel Herzliya 0-1 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-2 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Marmorek on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Marmorek | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th (22 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hapoel Marmorek | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 34 | 24 |
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Herzliya?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Herzliya the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Marmorek.
- Where and when is Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Herzliya played?
- Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Herzliya is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 2, 2027Maccabi AshdodvsHapoel Sderot
- Apr 2, 2027Maccabi YavnevsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Apr 2, 2027Nordia JerusalemvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Apr 2, 2027Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Azor
- Apr 3, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsTzeirey Tira
- Apr 3, 2027Hapoel HaderavsBeitar Yavne
- Apr 3, 2027Holon YermiyahuvsFC Jerusalem
- Apr 3, 2027Shimshon Tel AvivvsDimona