Holon Yermiyahu vs Tzeirey Tira: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Holon Municipal Stadium, Holon
The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tira the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Holon Yermiyahu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holon Yermiyahu vs Tzeirey Tira?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Holon Yermiyahu (1,655) and Tzeirey Tira (1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holon Yermiyahu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Tzeirey Tira have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Dimona(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(home) | 5-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Holon Yermiyahu win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tzeirey Tira win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | Holon Yermiyahu 1-3 Tzeirey Tira | Liga Alef |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Tzeirey Tira 0-0 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 2-0 Tzeirey Tira | Liga Alef |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Tzeirey Tira 0-1 Holon Yermiyahu | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Holon Yermiyahu vs Tzeirey Tira on Dec 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirey Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holon Yermiyahu | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Tzeirey Tira | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Tzeirey Tira sit 6th (33 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tzeirey Tira | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 33 |
| 11 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holon Yermiyahu vs Tzeirey Tira?
- The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tira the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Holon Yermiyahu.
- Where and when is Holon Yermiyahu vs Tzeirey Tira played?
- Holon Yermiyahu vs Tzeirey Tira is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Holon Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 23, 2026Hapoel HaderavsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Oct 23, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsHapoel Azor
- Oct 23, 2026Beitar YavnevsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Oct 23, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsMaccabi Ashdod
- Oct 24, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsDimona
- Oct 24, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsMaccabi Yavne
- Oct 24, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsNordia Jerusalem
- Oct 24, 2026FC JerusalemvsHapoel Sderot