Match

Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 8Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)

Beitar YavneHapoel Mahane Yehuda

The Footlab model makes Beitar Yavne the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Beitar Yavne (1,610) and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (1,562).

Beitar Yavne win38 %
Draw26 %
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beitar Yavne have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Beitar Yavne
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Hapoel Herzliya(home)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Holon Yermiyahu(away)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(home)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 29, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)2-1Liga Alef
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 5, 2025Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away)1-5State Cup
Nov 11, 2024Agudat Sport Ashdod(away)0-1State Cup
Oct 8, 2024Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away)2-1State Cup
Sep 24, 2024Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home)3-1State Cup
Sep 6, 2024Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away)4-2State Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Beitar Yavne score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Beitar Yavne1.41.447/158/15
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda1.71.928/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Beitar Yavne229310273430

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
The Footlab model makes Beitar Yavne the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.
Where and when is Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda played?
Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda is played on October 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Beitar Yavne and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

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