Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 8Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Beitar Yavne the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Beitar Yavne (1,610) and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (1,562).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beitar Yavne have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away) | 1-5 | State Cup |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Agudat Sport Ashdod(away) | 0-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away) | 4-2 | State Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Beitar Yavne score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Yavne | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Beitar Yavne | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
- The Footlab model makes Beitar Yavne the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.
- Where and when is Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda played?
- Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda is played on October 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 23, 2026Hapoel HaderavsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Oct 23, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsHapoel Azor
- Oct 23, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsMaccabi Ashdod
- Oct 24, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsDimona
- Oct 24, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsMaccabi Yavne
- Oct 24, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsTzeirey Tira
- Oct 24, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsNordia Jerusalem
- Oct 24, 2026FC JerusalemvsHapoel Sderot